Tropical Storm Melissa forecast to become major hurricane. Maps show its path.


Tropical Storm Melissa is expected to bring days of heavy rain to the Dominican Republic, Haiti and Jamaica and may trigger life-threatening flash flooding, the National Hurricane Center says.

It is forecast to become a major hurricane by early next week, according to CBS News meteorologist Nikki Nolan.

Melissa, which is the 13th named storm of the Atlantic season, isn’t expected to have major impacts on the mainland United States.

Here’s what to know about Tropical Storm Melissa.

Tropical Storm Melissa forecast and path

On Thursday, Melissa’s core was about 280 miles southwest of Port-au-Prince, Haiti, and about 220 miles southeast of Kingston, Jamaica, the hurricane center said. Maximum sustained winds were 45 mph, with tropical storm-force winds extending up to 115 miles out from the storm’s center. It was inching along at only 2 mph.

The storm is expected to linger over the central Caribbean for the next several days, according to Nolan, as it is moving very slowly. It is sitting over very warm waters.

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Nikki Nolan/CBS News


On the forecast track, Melissa is “expected to be nearer to Jamaica and the southwestern portion of Haiti during the next couple of days,” the hurricane center said.

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Map shows a spaghetti model of Tropical Storm Melissa’s possible paths, as of Thursday, Oct. 23, 2025.

Nikki Nolan/CBS News


Little change in the storm’s strength is expected over the next day or so, but “significant strengthening is expected by late Friday and over the weekend,” the hurricane center said.

A hurricane watch is in place for Jamaica and the southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the border with the Dominican Republic to Port-au-Prince. A tropical storm warning is also in effect for Jamaica. 

Rainfall forecasts

Melissa is likely to bring 6 to 12 inches of rain to the southern Dominican Republic, southern Haiti and eastern Jamaica through Sunday, with locally higher amounts possible, the hurricane center said. “Additional heavy rainfall is possible beyond Sunday,” it continued, but uncertainty about Melissa’s track and speed makes the exact totals harder to predict.

“Regardless, significant, life-threatening flash flooding and numerous landslides are expected,” forecasters said.



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